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Wall Street Is Quietly Betting on a Recession

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Inflation came in hot twice this week, and bonds rallied both times. The first crack showed up in AI credit.

2026-10-18 · 11 min read

The Market Insured the Wrong Risk.

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2026-10-10 · 12 min read

The Price of Money Is Back to 2002.

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2026-10-04 · 12 min read

Fear Moved to Bonds

2026-09-27 · 14 min read

The Index Is Fine. 70% of Its Stocks Are Not.

2026-09-20 · 15 min read

A Fed Hike Is Now 80% Certain. Nine Sectors Already Paid for It.

2026-09-13 · 11 min read

The Index Is 1% From Its High. The Market Under It Is Already Correcting.

2026-09-06 · 12 min read

Energy Was Dead Money. It Just Made 7.7% in a Week.

2026-08-16 · 4 min read

Gold Had Its Best Week Since January.

2026-08-09 · 10 min read

This Market Pays Proof and Sells Promises.

2026-08-02 · 14 min read